Recommendations on how companies can use Behavioral Science and Gamefication to unlock the Latent Value in their product or service.
Here is how it works:
Create a stimulus that causes people to behave in a predictable manner which is beneficial to the customer.
Ward Greunke
Friday, December 31, 2010
How do you get salesmen to measure their blood pressure?
For a recent consulting project I was asked to find a way to get medical equipment salesmen to use a particular blood pressure monitoring device. The problem is, blood pressure monitoring is similar to measuring someone’s weight. You can’t just run a contest like, “The Biggest Loser” because some people may already be at a low weight and it would not make sense for those people to lose any more weight. Additionally, there may be particular reasons why it is hard for some people to lose weight or lower their blood pressure.
One solution is to create some incentive for people to use the actual device. For blood pressure monitoring, people could take their blood pressure and then email the results. Unfortunately, salespeople are somewhat comfortable providing information even when that information does exactly match actual recorded data. To enforce integrity, the participants could be required to email a picture of the actual number that also shows some kind of date stamp such as the calendar from a cell phone.
Such methods start to get complicated and more time is spent collecting the data then understanding it. A better solution is to use the Behavioral Science concept of Overconfidence Bias. In this bias, people tend to believe that their skills or judgment is better then it actually is. For example if you ask a room of 20 people if they think they are better than average drivers, more then half of the group will say yes. Salesmen are particularly vulnerable to this bias.
Here is how the program would work. Each salesman would be given a blood pressure monitor. Instead of asking for periodic updates, a contest would be held at defined times. At the time of the contest, each person would be asked to guess what his or her blood pressure is. Then their pressure would be measured. Points would be awarded based on how close the person guesses to their measured pressure. Under this model, the participants would have an incentive to measure the pressure on their own and to remember that number. They would also start to learn what impacts that pressure. Does it go up after coffee? Is it higher in the morning or in the afternoon?
By creating a competition based on the Overconfidence Bias, the salesmen would not only use the device on their own but they would also have a better understanding of what their own number is and what impacts that number. Whether the participant chooses to take steps to reduce high blood pressure is up to them but knowledge of a problem is always the first step.
Monday, December 20, 2010
How much money do I need in retirement?
One of the biggest problems facing people planning for retirement is determining how inflation will impact monthly living expenses. Most websites offer an online calculator to help you find the numbers. For example, assume you currently spend $3,000 per month on food, clothing, hobbies and rent, and you plan to retire in 20 years. Using an online calculator, in 20 years at 3.5% inflation, you will need $6,000 per month to maintain the same lifestyle.
The problem is, that these calculators don’t give you an intuitive sense of the time value of money. What happens if you postpone your retirement by 5 years? What happens if you retire in 20 years and your retirement lasts 35 years? Each of these calculations would provide a new number, which you must record along with the scenario. Behavior Science teaches us that people are better able to internalize data when it is displayed in a graphical form rather then a numeric form. This is why analog watches are preferred over digital watches and why people prefer stock charts over spreadsheets to view stock performance.
Instead of offering an online calculator that gives an exact number, companies should use a graphical format that helps people visualize a range of numbers that more accurately represents the real world.
Here is how it would work. First, find your current monthly expenses on the left side of the chart. Then move your finger to the right the number of years until retirement. The line that you cross tells you how much money you will need to sustain your current lifestyle assuming 3.5% inflation. As you continue to move your finger to the right you will see how each year you need a little more money to compensate for inflation.
By using this graphical format, companies can give people a more intuitive feel for the amount of money the person will need for retirement. In addition, the graph will make it easier to run different scenarios such as postponing retirement or the impact of a long lifetime. This will help people better plan for retirement and understand that there are no exact answers for retirement planning so you need allow for deviation from your plan.
We will talk later about how much you need to save in order to withdraw the necessary money as detailed in this chart.
The problem is, that these calculators don’t give you an intuitive sense of the time value of money. What happens if you postpone your retirement by 5 years? What happens if you retire in 20 years and your retirement lasts 35 years? Each of these calculations would provide a new number, which you must record along with the scenario. Behavior Science teaches us that people are better able to internalize data when it is displayed in a graphical form rather then a numeric form. This is why analog watches are preferred over digital watches and why people prefer stock charts over spreadsheets to view stock performance.
Instead of offering an online calculator that gives an exact number, companies should use a graphical format that helps people visualize a range of numbers that more accurately represents the real world.
Here is how it would work. First, find your current monthly expenses on the left side of the chart. Then move your finger to the right the number of years until retirement. The line that you cross tells you how much money you will need to sustain your current lifestyle assuming 3.5% inflation. As you continue to move your finger to the right you will see how each year you need a little more money to compensate for inflation.
We will talk later about how much you need to save in order to withdraw the necessary money as detailed in this chart.
Sunday, December 5, 2010
A Desktop User Interface That Fitts
One of the problems with the Microsoft Windows user interface is the fact that the menu bar is attached to the top of the active window. When you move your mouse to the the menu, there is the potential that you can overshoot the menu and must move your mouse back. This increases the amount of time necessary to use the menu.
Apple addresses this issue by putting the menu bar at the top of the page. This makes it impossible to overshoot the menu and speeds up activity. Bruce Tognazzini wrote about this issue in an excellent article titled, “A Quiz Designed to Give You Fitts”. In the article, Bruce writes about Fitts' Law that states, "The time to acquire a target is a function of the distance to and size of the target." Anchoring the menu bar at the top of the screen creates an infinity large target which is in line with Fitts Law. The problem is, that there is still a distance between the active window and the menu bar that must be crossed which slows users down. Refer to the Dead Space in the picture below.
A better solution would be to use the same backstop that Apple uses but decrease the distance the mouse must travel to reach the menu bar. A backstop should be placed at the top of the active window to prevent the mouse from moving beyond the the menu bar at the top of the window. This would increase the effective area of the target while decreasing the distance traveled by the mouse. If a user wanted to access another window, they could move the mouse to the left, right or bottom of the active window to escape. A user could also use Alt Tab, a key combination that can be accessed by the left hand that usually does not access the mouse.
By creating a local backstop at the top of the active window, Fitts law states that the time required to access a menu should be faster compared to both the Microsoft Windows and the Apple Macintosh interface. This will increase the productivity of anyone who routinely accesses menus such as graphic designers and will also make life easier for people such as seniors who may have poor hand eye coordination.
Apple addresses this issue by putting the menu bar at the top of the page. This makes it impossible to overshoot the menu and speeds up activity. Bruce Tognazzini wrote about this issue in an excellent article titled, “A Quiz Designed to Give You Fitts”. In the article, Bruce writes about Fitts' Law that states, "The time to acquire a target is a function of the distance to and size of the target." Anchoring the menu bar at the top of the screen creates an infinity large target which is in line with Fitts Law. The problem is, that there is still a distance between the active window and the menu bar that must be crossed which slows users down. Refer to the Dead Space in the picture below.
A better solution would be to use the same backstop that Apple uses but decrease the distance the mouse must travel to reach the menu bar. A backstop should be placed at the top of the active window to prevent the mouse from moving beyond the the menu bar at the top of the window. This would increase the effective area of the target while decreasing the distance traveled by the mouse. If a user wanted to access another window, they could move the mouse to the left, right or bottom of the active window to escape. A user could also use Alt Tab, a key combination that can be accessed by the left hand that usually does not access the mouse.
When the mouse hit the backstop, it
would stop and only slide from left to right. If a user continued to
push the mouse past the backstop, the pointer would eventually be
released and could continue to move across the desktop.
By creating a local backstop at the top of the active window, Fitts law states that the time required to access a menu should be faster compared to both the Microsoft Windows and the Apple Macintosh interface. This will increase the productivity of anyone who routinely accesses menus such as graphic designers and will also make life easier for people such as seniors who may have poor hand eye coordination.
Sunday, November 28, 2010
How heater manufacturers can improve the effectiveness of heaters.
Ever notice how your electricity bill tends to increase during the winter? One of the major uses of electricity in the winter is for portable electric heaters. In a typical situation, people will place the heater in a cold room that usually has a window and turn the heater on. If the room is still cold, they will turn the heater higher. What most people do not know is that if the heater is far away from the window, much of the heat from the heater can end up at the ceiling while the floor remains cold. The reasons for this, is that cold air from the window falls while hot air from the heater rises creating a circulation pattern. See the picture below:
As you can see, when the heater is placed away from the window, the ceiling is hot while the floor is cold. To solve this problem, the heater should be place near the window. The warm air from the heater will rise, be slightly cooled by the window, move across the ceiling and then fall down the opposite wall and heat the floor. This sets up a natural circulation that evenly heats the room. Architects know this and if you look at the placement of floor vents in a house or a hotel room you will notice that the heater is always placed below the window. See picture below:
As the picture shows, the cold air near the window is heated before it enters the room and the air on the floor comes from the ceiling rather than from the window. Heater manufactures should use the Behavioral Science concept of Anchoring to recommend to customers where to place the heater for maximum comfort. When people place a heater in the room, their first choice will be near the window based because of the labeling on the heater. Today people are given no recommendations and the probability that the heater will end up near the window is low.
By anchoring people to the concept of placing heaters near windows, heater manufacturers can help customers heat a room evenly and reduce electricity use. This will ultimately reduce the overall cost of ownership of the heater as well as increase the perception of effectiveness of the heater.
Warning: There should always be adequate space between a heater and any loose cloth like drapes. Also not that this concept is not as applicable to heaters with fans.
Special thanks to Leura Greunke for the trigger for this concept.
Sunday, November 21, 2010
How restaurants can increase the value of the food served.
Have you ever walked out of a restaurant after eating a great meal feeling physically tired and mentally slow? The food may taste great but the large portions take a long time to digest. On the other extreme is the diet menu. Restaurants may display the low number of calories of an item but the selection may be lacking in taste.
How would you feel after eating this?
Customers must choose between meals that taste great but have consequences after the meal and items that are low in calories but may not taste as good. If people do choose the healthier choices on the menu and lose weight, Self Attribution Bias from Behavioral Science tells us that people will never give the restaurant credit for the weight loss.
I propose that there is another option. People are more likely to mentally enjoy a meal if there is a reward that is delivered in the short term. In this case, restaurants could use the Behavioral Science concept of Framing and tell people how the food will make the patron feel a couple of hours after eating the meal. While some foods make you fell tired and slow, other foods can make you mentally awake and energized. To increase value to customers, some restaurants should focus on how you feel after a meal and then advertise those effects on the menu. Instead of focusing on what the food does not have like calories, or cholesterol, the restaurant should focus on the short-term benefits the food provides.
Here is how it would work. Imagine you are working in a law firm and you need to prepare for big court case the next day. The menu would list several dishes that support brain function. The meal could start with a walnut spinach salad, the main course would be salmon and desert could consist of blueberries. Of course a couple on a date might opt for the aphrodisiac menu that includes oysters, shark fin soup and chocolate. Mararthon runners would be offered a meal high in carbohydrates that would increase the storage of glycogen (or energy) in their muscles.
Your mind would be sharp after this meal.
In summary, restaurants should design a menu that provides known benefits in the hours after consuming the meal and then advertise those benefits. This will bridge the gap between food that tastes great but makes you feel terrible afterwards and food that is less appetizing but may provide benefits 20 years latter. This will make people enjoy meals that may not have as much taste but have short-term health benefits. It will also increase the value that restaurants offer to patrons by highlighting the food body relationship.
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
How Facebook or LinkedIn can help promote professional services.
One of the hardest decisions to make is choosing someone to perform a professional service such as a new dentist or elective surgery like Lasik. Part of the reason for this is that we typically do not have much experience in the area. We may only need the service once and after the service is done we lose interest in the subject. If your new roof has a 25-year warranty, you will forget about it after the work is done.
Another reason that we have trouble choosing professional services like a plumber or painter is that it is hard to find someone in our network who has needed the same service. Imagine that you want to find a painter. First you have to identify your friends that live in a house, then you have to find someone that had their house painted recently. The large amount of work that this takes and the low probability of finding someone in your region, makes this a complicated task.
Here is how the problem looks:
Social network sites like LinkedIn and Facebook already provide the foundation to simplify the process of finding a professional service.
Here is how it would work. Imagine that someone in your network recently hired a painter to paint their house. This is not something that is normally discussed on the Wall at Facebook or in LinkedIn so you would not know who in your network had the work done.
The only way that you would find out if someone had worked with a painter is if you asked the person in your network directly.
Under the new system, Sam the painter would have a professional profile. If Susan was happy with Sam’s work then she would provide a professional reference for Sam and add him to her professional services list. This list would not take up space on Susan’s home page but if someone was looking for a painter, Facebook or LinkedIn would show everyone in their network who had recommended a painter.
The normal fan pages on Facebook would not be appropriate for a roofer since one would not want to get messages from a service that they may never need again in their life. Similarly, I would not want to add a roofer as a friend because I don’t want to share my daily life with them. In essence, professional services need a connection that is somewhere between a fan and a friend.
By promoting professional services, Facebook or LinkedIn would make it easier for someone to find a professional service by using their network. Additionally, Behavioral Science proposes that the quality of the service will also improve because someone who has a large amount of positive references will subconsciously improve the quality of their work to match up with the references. People who have poor references will not receive new work and will drop out of the network.
Added BonusUsing the above strategy will also increase advertising revenue for Facebook or LinkedIn by using targeted ad placement. When someone searches for a roofer in their immediate network that person is ready to make an immediate purchase. No one browses roofers for fun. When a search is made in the network for roofers, Facebook or other social media sights can also post ads by third party roofers. These are target and timely ads and should command a high premium because of their relevance and timeliness. The vast majority of advertising done in the Yellow Pages with the exception of restaurants falls into this category.
Another reason that we have trouble choosing professional services like a plumber or painter is that it is hard to find someone in our network who has needed the same service. Imagine that you want to find a painter. First you have to identify your friends that live in a house, then you have to find someone that had their house painted recently. The large amount of work that this takes and the low probability of finding someone in your region, makes this a complicated task.
Here is how the problem looks:
It is hard to find someone who is not in your immediate network.
Social network sites like LinkedIn and Facebook already provide the foundation to simplify the process of finding a professional service.
Here is how it would work. Imagine that someone in your network recently hired a painter to paint their house. This is not something that is normally discussed on the Wall at Facebook or in LinkedIn so you would not know who in your network had the work done.
The only way that you would find out if someone had worked with a painter is if you asked the person in your network directly.
Under the new system, Sam the painter would have a professional profile. If Susan was happy with Sam’s work then she would provide a professional reference for Sam and add him to her professional services list. This list would not take up space on Susan’s home page but if someone was looking for a painter, Facebook or LinkedIn would show everyone in their network who had recommended a painter.
Professional Services are now easy to find through your network.
The normal fan pages on Facebook would not be appropriate for a roofer since one would not want to get messages from a service that they may never need again in their life. Similarly, I would not want to add a roofer as a friend because I don’t want to share my daily life with them. In essence, professional services need a connection that is somewhere between a fan and a friend.
By promoting professional services, Facebook or LinkedIn would make it easier for someone to find a professional service by using their network. Additionally, Behavioral Science proposes that the quality of the service will also improve because someone who has a large amount of positive references will subconsciously improve the quality of their work to match up with the references. People who have poor references will not receive new work and will drop out of the network.
Added BonusUsing the above strategy will also increase advertising revenue for Facebook or LinkedIn by using targeted ad placement. When someone searches for a roofer in their immediate network that person is ready to make an immediate purchase. No one browses roofers for fun. When a search is made in the network for roofers, Facebook or other social media sights can also post ads by third party roofers. These are target and timely ads and should command a high premium because of their relevance and timeliness. The vast majority of advertising done in the Yellow Pages with the exception of restaurants falls into this category.
Wednesday, November 10, 2010
How banks can use Mental Accounting to help customers reach financial goals.
Many banks offer a variety of checking options for checking and savings accounts. Some have higher interest rates if you use an ATM card and others have free online banking if you keep a minimum balance. Unfortunately, many of these options provide little additional value for customers. Most people have a single checking account that is used to pay for leisure activities and necessities and they must constantly make sure that they set aside money for bills that are due latter in the month. If any money is left over, then it might get added to savings.
To improve value to customers, banks should use the Behavioral Science concept of Mental Accounting to offer accounts that are more in line with how people think about their money.
Most financial planners advise clients to prioritize spending so that the necessities in life like long term savings and housing are paid for first and whatever is left over can be used for less important things. The banks should mimic this system.
First, you would define your repeating expenses such as rent and car payment, and then you define your financial goals. Second, the bank would create multiple accounts with descriptive names such as Necessities, Savings and Leisure.
The Necessities account would only allow online banking payable to a fixed number of expenses, the Savings budget would be a savings account with limited access, and the Leisure would have ready access to cash in the form of a debit card. When you deposit your paycheck each month, the bank would automatically make deposits into each account depending on your preferences. A fixed amount would first go into the Necessities account, then another smaller fixed amount would go into the Savings account then whatever is left over would go into the Leisure account.
Under this plan, you could consistently spend all of the money in you leisure account and still be confident that you could pay your bills even if they were due several weeks after you receive your paycheck. This system works because people spend based on what is in their account. At the end of the month when your Leisure account is low, you would act like you were out of money yet still have confidence that you will reach your financial goals.
Most financial planners advise clients to prioritize spending so that the necessities in life like long term savings and housing are paid for first and whatever is left over can be used for less important things. The banks should mimic this system.
Here is how the program would work:
First, you would define your repeating expenses such as rent and car payment, and then you define your financial goals. Second, the bank would create multiple accounts with descriptive names such as Necessities, Savings and Leisure.
Under this plan, you could consistently spend all of the money in you leisure account and still be confident that you could pay your bills even if they were due several weeks after you receive your paycheck. This system works because people spend based on what is in their account. At the end of the month when your Leisure account is low, you would act like you were out of money yet still have confidence that you will reach your financial goals.
This program would shift the relationship between banks and their customers. Today banks only offer security and convenience, which the customer views as a commodity. By creating physical accounts that reflect people’s Mental Accounting and prioritizing deposits, banks can start to act as financial partners. This would increase customer retention, reduce delinquency on mortgage and credit card payments and help customers reach their financial goals.
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